Publications

New textbook

  • Xie, S.-P., 2023: Coupled Atmosphere-Ocean Dynamics: From El Niño to Climate Change. Elsevier Science, 400 pages.

Publications submitted, in press, and just out (frequently updated)

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Luo, F., Xie, S., Ying, J., Geng, Y., & Chen, D. (2025). Impacts of Antarctic Sea Ice Change on Global Warming Pattern Inferred From CMIP6 Intermodel Spread. Geophysical Research Letters, 52(1), e2024GL112323. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL112323
Park, I.-H., Yeh, S.-W., Min, S.-K., An, S.-I., Xie, S.-P., & Shin, J. (2024). Irreversible changes in the sea surface temperature threshold for tropical convection to CO2 forcing. Communications Earth & Environment, 5(1), 659. https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-024-01751-7
Liang, Y., Xie, S.-P., & Zhang, H. (2024). An intrinsic low-frequency atmospheric mode of the Indonesian-Australian summer monsoon. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7(1), 240. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00792-1
Zhang, P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y., Lutsko, N. J., Okumura, Y. M., & Miyamoto, A. (2024). Why East Asian monsoon anomalies are more robust in post El Niño than in post La Niña summers. Nature Communications, 15(1), 7401. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51885-7
Zhao, J., Zhan, R., Wang, Y., Xie, S.-P., Zhang, L., & Xu, M. (2024). Lapsed El Niño impact on Atlantic and Northwest Pacific tropical cyclone activity in 2023. Nature Communications, 15(1), 6706. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-51241-9
Chen, L., Zhong, X., Li, H., Wu, J., Lu, B., Chen, D., Xie, S.-P., Wu, L., Chao, Q., Lin, C., Hu, Z., & Qi, Y. (2024). A machine learning model that outperforms conventional global subseasonal forecast models. Nature Communications, 15(1), 6425. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-50714-1
Song, Z., Xie, S.-P., Xu, L., Zheng, X.-T., Lin, X., & Geng, Y.-F. (2024). Deep Winter Mixed Layer Anchored by the Meandering Antarctic Circumpolar Current: Cross-Basin Variations. Journal of Climate, 37(14), 3741–3757. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0174.1
Peng, Q., Xie, S.-P., & Deser, C. (2024). Collapsed upwelling projected to weaken ENSO under sustained warming beyond the twenty-first century. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-024-02061-8
Zhou, W., Leung, L. R., Xie, S.-P., & Lu, J. (2024). An analytic theory for the degree of Arctic Amplification. Nature Communications, 15(1), 5060. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48469-w
Wang, H., Zheng, X.-T., Cai, W., Han, Z.-W., Xie, S.-P., Kang, S. M., Geng, Y.-F., Liu, F., Wang, C.-Y., Wu, Y., Xiang, B., & Zhou, L. (2024). Atmosphere teleconnections from abatement of China aerosol emissions exacerbate Northeast Pacific warm blob events. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 121(21), e2313797121. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2313797121
Gu, Q., Gervais, M., Danabasoglu, G., Kim, W. M., Castruccio, F., Maroon, E., & Xie, S.-P. (2024). Wide range of possible trajectories of North Atlantic climate in a warming world. Nature Communications, 15(1), 4221. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-024-48401-2
Liu, J., Yang, L., & Xie, S. (2024). CALIPSO Observed Low Clouds Over the Subtropical Northeast Pacific: Summer Climatology and Interannual Variability. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 129(8), e2023JD039168. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023JD039168
Zhang, H., Xie, S., Seager, R., & Zhao, S. (2024). Dynamical Constraint on Precipitation Biases Over the Indo‐Pacific Region During Boreal Summer in AMIP6 Models. Geophysical Research Letters, 51(6), e2023GL107181. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL107181
Peng, Q., Xie, S.-P., Passalacqua, G. A., Miyamoto, A., & Deser, C. (2024). The 2023 extreme coastal El Niño: Atmospheric and air-sea coupling mechanisms. Science Advances, 10(12), eadk8646. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adk8646
Chen, S., Chen, W., Xie, S.-P., Yu, B., Wu, R., Wang, Z., Lan, X., & Graf, H.-F. (2024). Strengthened impact of boreal winter North Pacific Oscillation on ENSO development in warming climate. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 7(1), 69. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-024-00615-3
Hwang, Y.-T., Xie, S.-P., Chen, P.-J., Tseng, H.-Y., & Deser, C. (2024). Contribution of anthropogenic aerosols to persistent La Niña-like conditions in the early 21st century. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 121(5), e2315124121. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2315124121
Wang, M., Xie, S.-P., Sasaki, H., Nonaka, M., & Du, Y. (2024). Intensification of Pacific tropical instability waves over the recent three decades. Nature Climate Change. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-023-01915-x
Zhang, P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y., & Lutsko, N. J. (2024). Non-ENSO Precursors for Northwestern Pacific Summer Monsoon Variability with Implications for Predictability. Journal of Climate, 37(1), 199–212. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0169.1
Song, X., Xie, X., Yan, Y., & Xie, S.-P. (2024). Observed Subdaily Variations in Air–Sea Turbulent Heat Fluxes under Different Marine Atmospheric Boundary Layer Stability Conditions in the Gulf Stream. Monthly Weather Review, 152(5), 1223–1238. https://doi.org/10.1175/MWR-D-24-0003.1
Cai, Q., Chen, W., Chen, S., Xie, S.-P., Piao, J., Ma, T., & Lan, X. (2024). Recent pronounced warming on the Mongolian Plateau boosted by internal climate variability. Nature Geoscience, 17(3), 181–188. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-024-01377-6
Luongo, M. T., Brizuela, N. G., Eisenman, I., & Xie, S. (2024). Retaining Short‐Term Variability Reduces Mean State Biases in Wind Stress Overriding Simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16(2), e2023MS003665. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023MS003665
Zhao, J., Zhan, R., Murakami, H., Wang, Y., Xie, S.-P., Zhang, L., & Guo, Y. (2023). Atmospheric modes fiddling the simulated ENSO impact on tropical cyclone genesis over the Northwest Pacific. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 213. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00537-6
Miyamoto, A., Nakamura, H., Xie, S.-P., Miyasaka, T., & Kosaka, Y. (2023). Radiative Impacts of Californian Marine Low Clouds on North Pacific Climate in a Global Climate Model. Journal of Climate, 36(24), 8443–8459. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0153.1
Zhong, Z., He, B., Chen, H. W., Chen, D., Zhou, T., Dong, W., Xiao, C., Xie, S., Song, X., Guo, L., Ding, R., Zhang, L., Huang, L., Yuan, W., Hao, X., Ji, D., & Zhao, X. (2023). Reversed asymmetric warming of sub-diurnal temperature over land during recent decades. Nature Communications, 14(1), 7189. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-43007-6
Song, S.-Y., Yeh, S.-W., Allan, R. P., Xie, S.-P., An, S.-I., & Park, H.-S. (2023). Climate sensitivity controls global precipitation hysteresis in a changing CO2 pathway. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 156. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00484-2
Roose, S., Ajayamohan, R. S., Ray, P., Xie, S.-P., Sabeerali, C. T., Mohapatra, M., Taraphdar, S., Mohanakumar, K., & Rajeevan, M. (2023). Pacific decadal oscillation causes fewer near-equatorial cyclones in the North Indian Ocean. Nature Communications, 14(1), 5099. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-40642-x
Shi, J., Wijffels, S. E., Kwon, Y., & Xie, S. (2023). Interhemispheric Contrasts of Ocean Heat Content Change Reveals Distinct Fingerprints of Anthropogenic Climate Forcings. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(16), e2023GL102741. https://doi.org/10.1029/2023GL102741
Tseng, H.-Y., Hwang, Y.-T., Xie, S.-P., Tseng, Y.-H., Kang, S. M., Luongo, M. T., & Eisenman, I. (2023). Fast and Slow Responses of the Tropical Pacific to Radiative Forcing in Northern High Latitudes. Journal of Climate, 36(16), 5337–5349. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0622.1
Hu, S., Xie, S.-P., Seager, R., & Cane, M. A. (2023). Spatial and Seasonal Variations of Sea Surface Temperature Threshold for Tropical Convection. Journal of Climate, 36(15), 4899–4912. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0545.1
Xiang, B., Xie, S.-P., Kang, S. M., & Kramer, R. J. (2023). An emerging Asian aerosol dipole pattern reshapes the Asian summer monsoon and exacerbates northern hemisphere warming. Npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 6(1), 77. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-023-00400-8
Gutiérrez Brizuela, N., Alford, M. H., Xie, S.-P., Sprintall, J., Voet, G., Warner, S. J., Hughes, K., & Moum, J. N. (2023). Prolonged thermocline warming by near-inertial internal waves in the wakes of tropical cyclones. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 120(26), e2301664120. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2301664120
Kang, S. M., Shin, Y., Kim, H., Xie, S.-P., & Hu, S. (2023). Disentangling the mechanisms of equatorial Pacific climate change. Science Advances, 9(19), eadf5059. https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.adf5059
Wang, C.-Y., Zheng, X.-T., & Xie, S.-P. (2023). Enhanced ENSO-Unrelated Summer Variability in the Indo–Western Pacific under Global Warming. Journal of Climate, 36(6), 1749–1765. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0450.1
Peng, Q., Xie, S.-P., Huang, R. X., Wang, W., Zu, T., & Wang, D. (2023). Indonesian Throughflow Slowdown under Global Warming: Remote AMOC Effect versus Regional Surface Forcing. Journal of Climate, 36(5), 1301–1318. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-22-0331.1
Li, Y., Xie, S., Lian, T., Zhang, G., Feng, J., Ma, J., Peng, Q., Wang, W., Hou, Y., & Li, X. (2023). Interannual Variability of Regional Hadley Circulation and El Niño Interaction. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(4). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL102016
Liang, Y., Du, Y., & Xie, S.-P. (2023). SST effect on the pre-monsoon intraseasonal oscillation over the South China Sea based on atmospheric-coupled GCM comparison. Journal of Oceanology and Limnology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00343-022-1433-6
Luongo, M. T., Xie, S., Eisenman, I., Hwang, Y., & Tseng, H. (2023). A Pathway for Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cooling to Elicit a Tropical Response. Geophysical Research Letters, 50(2). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022GL100719
Yang, L., Xie, S.-P., Shen, S. S. P., Liu, J.-W., & Hwang, Y.-T. (2023). Low Cloud–SST Feedback over the Subtropical Northeast Pacific and the Remote Effect on ENSO Variability. Journal of Climate, 36(2), 441–452. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0902.1
Jeong, H., Park, H.-S., Chowdary, J. S., & Xie, S.-P. (2023). Triple-Dip La Niña Contributes to Pakistan Flooding and Southern China Drought in Summer 2022. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104(9), E1570–E1586. https://doi.org/10.1175/BAMS-D-23-0002.1
Cai, W., Gao, L., Luo, Y., Li, X., Zheng, X., Zhang, X., Cheng, X., Jia, F., Purich, A., Santoso, A., Du, Y., Holland, D. M., Shi, J.-R., Xiang, B., & Xie, S.-P. (2023). Southern Ocean warming and its climatic impacts. Science Bulletin, 68(9), 946–960. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scib.2023.03.049
Shin, S., Yeh, S., An, S., Keenlyside, N., Xie, S., & Park, J. (2023). Southern Ocean Control of 2°C Global Warming in Climate Models. Earth’s Future, 11(1). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022EF003212
Li, Y., Li, X., Xie, S., Zhang, G., Wang, Z., Wang, W., & Hou, Y. (2022). Regional Perspective of Hadley Circulation and Its Uncertainties Among Different Datasets: Spread in Reanalysis Datasets. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 127(24). https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036940
Wang, G., Wu, L., Mei, W., & Xie, S.-P. (2022). Ocean currents show global intensification of weak tropical cyclones. Nature, 611(7936), 496–500. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-022-05326-4
Du, Y., Chen, Z., Xie, S.-P., Zhang, L., Zhang, Y., & Cai, Y. (2022). Drivers and characteristics of the Indo-western Pacific Ocean capacitor. Frontiers in Climate, 4, 1014138. https://doi.org/10.3389/fclim.2022.1014138
Luongo, M. T., Xie, S.-P., & Eisenman, I. (2022). Buoyancy Forcing Dominates the Cross-Equatorial Ocean Heat Transport Response to Northern Hemisphere Extratropical Cooling. Journal of Climate, 35(20), 3071–3090. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0950.1
Kim, J., Kang, S. M., Xie, S.-P., Xiang, B., Kim, D., Zheng, X.-T., & Wang, H. (2022). Large-scale climate response to regionally confined extratropical cooling: effect of ocean dynamics. Climate Dynamics. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-022-06500-0
Kim, H., Kang, S. M., Kay, J. E., & Xie, S.-P. (2022). Subtropical clouds key to Southern Ocean teleconnections to the tropical Pacific. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 119(34), e2200514119. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2200514119
Liu, J., Song, M., Zhu, Z., Horton, R. M., Hu, Y., & Xie, S.-P. (2022). Arctic sea-ice loss is projected to lead to more frequent strong El Niño events. Nature Communications, 13(1), 4952. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32705-2
Zhang, H., Seager, R., & Xie, S.-P. (2022). How Does Sea Surface Temperature Drive the Intertropical Convergence Zone in the Southern Indian Ocean? Journal of Climate, 35(16), 5415–5432. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0870.1
Li, S., Mei, W., & Xie, S.-P. (2022). Effects of Tropical Sea Surface Temperature Variability on Northern Hemisphere Tropical Cyclone Genesis. Journal of Climate, 35(14), 4719–4739. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-21-0084.1